最易导致两类El Niño事件“春季预报障碍”的初始误差及其在ENSO目标观测中的应用研究

41606019
2016
D0601.物理海洋学
田奔
青年科学基金项目
副研究员
国家气候中心
20万元
春季预报障碍;初始误差;目标观测敏感区;厄尔尼诺
2017-01-01到2019-12-31
  • 中英文摘要
  • 结题摘要
  • 结题报告
  • 项目成果
  • 项目参与人
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序号 标题 类型 作者
1 Towards optimal observational array for dealing with challenges of El Nino-Southern Oscillation predictions due to diversities of El Nino 期刊论文 Duan Wansuo;Li Xuquan;Tian Ben
2 Upper-ocean dynamical features and prediction of the super El Nio in 2015/16: A comparison with the cases in 1982/83 and 1997/98 期刊论文 Ren Hong-Li;Wang Run;Zhai Panmao;Ding Yihui;Lu Bo
3 Distinct persistence barriers in two types of ENSO 期刊论文 Ren Hong-Li;Jin Fei-Fei;Tian Ben;Scaife Adam A.
4 Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文 Hu Junya;Duan Wansuo;Zhou Qian
5 Diagnosing the representation and causes of the ENSO persistence barrier in CMIP5 simulations 期刊论文 Tian Ben;Ren Hong Li;Jin Fei Fei;Stuecker Malte F
6 A Hybrid Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model and Its Simulation of ENSO and Atmospheric Responses 期刊论文 Hu Junya;Zhang Rong Hua;Gao Chuan
7 基于逐步回归模态投影方法的BCC气候系统模式ENSO预报订正 期刊论文 王琳;任宏利;陈权亮;田奔;刘颖
8 Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文 Ren Hong Li;Scaife Adam A;Dunstone Nick;Tian Ben;Liu Ying;Ineson Sarah;Lee June Yi;Smith Doug;Liu Changzheng;Thompson Vikki;Vellinga Michael;MacLachlan Craig
9 Representation of the ENSO Combination Mode and its Asymmetric SST Response in Different Resolutions of HadGEM3 期刊论文 Wan Jianghua;Ren Hongli;Wu Peili
10 Prediction of Primary Climate Variability Modes at the Beijing Climate Center 期刊论文 Ren Hong-Li;Jin Fei-Fei;Song Lianchun;Lu Bo;Tian Ben;Zuo Jinqing;Liu Ying;Wu Jie;Zhao Chongbo;Nie Yu;Zhang Peiqun;Ba Jin;Wu Yujie;Wan Jianghua;Yan Yuping;Zhou Fang
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